Tourism is the act of traveling for pleasure and recreation, to a place other than where a person usually lives. According to the definition by World Tourism "anyone who spends over 24 hours in a country other than the one he or she usually lives is considered as a tourist ".
Moroccans living abroad who come to spend their holiday at home are recorded at the Moroccan border as tourists to Morocco. The tourism sector plays a dynamic role in promoting economic and social activity in Morocco, especially in matters of employment and balance-of-payments.
In the year 2007: the contribution of tourism to the GDP was 9%; its share of the employed population was around 7%; it directly employed nearly 600,000 people. Besides these transfers of MREs, tourism receipts are the primary source of currency for the country. This explains the priority given to it by government and industry professionals who have concluded a contract with the government, with an ambitious target of ten million tourists in 2010.
Thus, more than ever, a sector study is needed to detect whether these changes are structural or whether it is a passing trend. This study will be devoted to answer the question: "Is the tourism sector in Morocco growing or is it only taking advantage of the beautification of the international situation?" The answer to this question will allow us to conclude whether Morocco has a comparative advantage in the industry when compared to other countries, or it is an impact that is shared on the international scene.
The first part, will establish a static analysis of the situation of the sector in Morocco in 2007. To better understand the figures of 2007, a comparative study was conducted:
The first study is a comparison between the predictions of the framework contract (Vision 2010) and the actual achievements of 2007 to measure the level of achievement of commitments undertaken by the state sector. The second comparative study that took place was between the results of Morocco and those of its major competitors (including Tunisia, Turkey and Egypt), to try to measure the level of competitiveness of Moroccan products and whether Morocco is better than its competitors.
The second part is analytical studies further the sector's performance over the period 1986 to 2007 whose objectives are to Identify trends in the sector in the last 22 years through the analysis of some indices (arrivals in tourist accommodation capacity in beds, tourist receipts in foreign currency) and then try to explain its developments over the period.
it also helps to identify the various interrelationships that exist between the different indices and calculated and finally distinguish between structural changes and economic trends and their explanations after the events of each period.
Four variables will be presented throughout this chapter that is the evolution of
the international tourist arrivals, overnight stays in hotels classified, calculated, the overall capacity for stays in hotels compared to the number of beds and finally the changes in tourism receipts represented by the entries in foreign currency ended with a general conclusion.
Tags: Morocco, study on tourism sector,
[...] Section II: the evolution of tourism receipts compared to arrivals: Tourism revenues, which were 6890 million dirhams in 1986, reached 58,838 million dirhams in 2007, recording an average growth rate of per year during this period. During the 90s, tourism receipts recorded their lowest level in 1991 in conjunction with the first Gulf War. After a strong recovery in 1992, they began a further decline in 1995 to $10 billion DH, with a recovery in 1996 with 12 billion Dirhams. [...]
[...] These will allow us to establish the point cloud on Excel. We obtain: According to the graph above, it is clear that there is a fairly strong correlation between the number of tourists in Morocco and its tourism revenue on one side and these same indices on the other side in the world. Indeed this is manifested through the coefficient of determination which is quite close to 1 2 = 0.744 Any time before deciding whether or not X explains it is essential to check whether the model satisfies the probability hypotheses for residues. [...]
[...] The main tourist destinations continue to register satisfactory rates: 66% to Marrakech and Agadir, and 63% to 55% for Casablanca. Section IV: tourist receipts in foreign currency Forecasts of the contract program on tourism revenues during 2007 amounted to 52.3 billion after recording 45.5 billion a year earlier. At the end of 2007, travel receipts in foreign currencies totaled 58.8 billion dirhams, an increase of 12% over the same period last year. In terms of absolute increase this growth amounted to 6.4 billion dirhams (This supports the role of tourism in Morocco's balance of payments). [...]
[...] Thus according to the records of 2007: • the contribution of tourism to the GDP was • its share of the employed population is around • it contributes to the direct employment of nearly 600,000 people. Besides the transfer of MREs, tourism revenues are the primary source of currency for the country. This explains the priority given to it by the government and industry professionals who have entered into a contract with the government program, with an ambitious goal to reach ten million tourists in 2010. [...]
[...] The first is a comparison between the predictions of the framework agreement (Vision 2010) and the actual achievements of 2007, to measure the level of achievement of commitments undertaken by the state sector, and the second comparative study will be carried out between Morocco and the results of those of its major competitors (including Tunisia, Turkey and Egypt), to try to measure the competitiveness of Moroccan products and whether Morocco is better than its competitors. II- the second part is an analytical study of the sector's performance over the period 1986 to 2007 whose objectives are: • Identify trends of the last 22 years in the sector through the analysis of some indices (arrivals as tourists, the accommodation capacity in beds, tourist receipts in foreign currencies . ) and then try to explain its evolution over the period. [...]
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